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| THEORIES AND METHODOLOGIES ON LONG TERM PROJECTION OF CARGO FLOWS IN TUMEN RIVER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AREA (TREDA) |
| WANG Rong-cheng1, CHEN Cai1, Burkhard von Rabenau2 |
1. Department of Geography, Northeast Normal University, Chang Chun 130024, China;
2. Department of Urban and Environment, Ohio University, USA |
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Abstract The authors utilize the routes comparison model and gravity model to forecast the cargo flows through the ports and related routes in TREDA (2000-2020).The authors also inquire into the main obstacles which affect the cargo flows of the region, analyze the influences on cargo flows if the obstacles change with sensitivity analyses.
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Received: 05 August 1998
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1999, Vol. 14 
